Wednesday, October 26, 2011

A Look at Week 9 in the SEC

    Last week's games were very underwhelming. Everyone that was expected to take care of business, did. I did not expect Auburn to get blown out like they did, but I guess that's what happens when you have a very young team and start a new quarterback against the best team in the country. Both Alabama and LSU remain unscathed going into their bye weeks and are primed for the matchup that everyone has been talking about on November 5th. I also did not expect Arkansas to struggle as much as they did against Ole Miss. Ole Miss was leading 17-0 at one point and the Razorbacks had to climb back to win 29-24. I think it's safe to say that Arkansas was underestimating the Rebels.

    I was 5-0 last week, but most of the games had heavy favorites and that made it a fairly easy week to pick. On to Week 9....

Game of the Week
Georgia's Aaron Murray
Florida vs. #22 Georgia (3:30 PM, CBS): Florida comes into this game with questions about the health of starting quarterback John Brantley. He has missed the last two games after suffering a leg injury to Alabama. He had the bye last week to recover, and Florida head coach Will Muschamp expects him to play Saturday. That will provide a big boost for the Gators as they take on Georgia. The Bulldogs have been playing better each week and their defense has been shining as of late, only giving up 12.6 points per game over their last five games. That's a vast improvement from a team who allowed Boise State and South Carolina to put up a combined 80 points. Brantley hasn't played in three and a half weeks and is most likely not going to be 100 percent even if he does play. Georgia's defense will carry them and sophomore quarterback Aaron Murray will do just enough for the Bulldogs to pull out a close one. 
    Prediction: Georgia 24-21


The Others
USC's Alshon Jeffery
#13 South Carolina at Tennessee (7:15 PM, ESPN2): There is no doubt that South Carolina will look like a completely different team without stud sophomore running back Marcus Lattimore, who was lost for the season after hurting his knee against Mississippi State two weeks ago. That fact alone will cause this game to be much closer than it would have been otherwise. However, Tennessee has decided to start true freshman quarterback Justin Worley and pull his redshirt instead of playing struggling senior Matt Simms for another game. South Carolina's defense is solid, and their stellar defensive line should take advantage of the Vols' true freshman as he throws his first collegiate passes Saturday. I expect a big game from South Carolina's junior wide receiver Alshon Jeffery, who will be facing a very weak Tennessee secondary.
    Prediction: South Carolina 28-17

#10 Arkansas at Vanderbilt (12:21 PM, SEC Network): Arkansas surprisingly struggled with Ole Miss last weekend and had to come from behind to earn the victory. Don't expect them to make the same mistake twice. The Razorbacks will try to rebound from their poor performance against the Rebels and beat the Commodores on the road. Vanderbilt pounded Army 44-21 behind junior quarterback Jordan Rodgers, who had 186 yards passing and almost 100 yards rushing. Rodgers has provided a much needed spark to Vanderbilt's offense, but it is their defense that will struggle the most this week. It's not likely that the 'Dores will be able to stop quarterback Arkansas Tyler Wilson and his multitude of options through the air.
    Prediction: Arkansas 35-17

Ole Miss at #23 Auburn (7:00 PM, ESPNU): The Rebels made it tough on Arkansas last weekend and will try to continue their improvement against Auburn. Auburn was thrashed by #1 LSU, and will not want to let that loss bleed into this game. Look for Auburn to come out mad and hungry for a victory after being humiliated by LSU. It remains to be seen whether star wide receiver Emory Blake will be playing after missing the last few weeks with an ankle injury, but it shouldn't matter for the Tigers' chances to win this game. Head coach Gene Chizik is 18-2 at home during his Auburn tenure. This game could look very simliar to their matchup in 2009 when Auburn beat Ole Miss 33-20 and dominated most of the game after getting destroyed by LSU 31-10 the week before. I expect Clint Moseley to find his groove against the Ole Miss defense and Auburn will get its sixth victory of the season and thus become bowl eligible.
    Prediction: Auburn 28-13

Mississippi State at Kentucky (7:00 PM, FSN): One of these teams will get its first SEC victory this weekend. Kentucky beat up on FCS opponent Jacksonville State 38-14 last week and Mississippi State lost on a last second Alshon Jeffery touchdown to South Carolina 14-12 in their last game two weeks ago. Mississippi State has shown more the first half of the season, and Kentucky lacks any semblance of a passing game. Mississippi State is the better of two bad teams.The Bulldogs will get their first conference win.
    Prediction: Mississippi State 24-17

Lucas's Week 8 Record: 5-0
Lucas's Season Record: 55-9

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