Thursday, November 17, 2011

A Look at Week 12 in the SEC

    Last week I had one of my worst weeks of the season. I was 5-2 and missed severely on the Auburn-Georgia game. Georgia destroyed Auburn in all aspects of the game, something I didn't not see happening. I gave way too much credence to Georgia's soft schedule and didn't place enough importance on how hot Georgia has been as a team recently. If the Bulldogs can take care of business against Kentucky this week they will win the SEC East. The other game I missed was Ole Miss-LA Tech. Ole Miss could not even win their homecoming game, and that was something I did not predict. Ole Miss' program is in shambles, and they will need a quality head coach to help turn the program around.

   This week's slate of games incredibly disappointing. There are zero marquee matchups, but it will pick back up again next week.

   On to Week 12...

Game of the Week
Vanderbilt QB Jordan Rodgers
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (7:00 PM, ESPNU): This game is potentially big for both teams. Vanderbilt needs to win this game to become bowl eligible, and Tennessee needs to win this week and next week against Kentucky to reach bowl eligibility status. Tyler Bray is reportedly supposed to be back for this game, but how well he will play is remaining to be seen. Vanderbilt has been playing well recently. The 'Dores played Georgia, Arkansas, and Florida close and then absolutely dismantled Kentucky last week. Quarterback Jordan Rodgers has sparked this team since he began starting and has them really playing well. Bray will most likely rusty and not as effective as the Vols need him to be in order to win. Vanderbilt has been playing well as of late and Tennessee has been just the opposite. Vanderbilt goes into Neyland and wins.
     Prediction: Vanderbilt 24-20


Second Tier Games
Mississippi State at #6 Arkansas (3:30 PM, CBS): Mississippi State is 1-5 in the SEC and has not performed up to their high expectations coming into the year. Arkansas has been streaking and dominated Tennessee last week 49-7. Mississippi State's defense is no match for Arkansas' passing offense led by junior quarterback Tyler Wilson.
    Prediction: Arkansas 31-17

Kentucky at #14 Georgia (12:21 PM, SEC Network): Georgia played its most complete game of the season against Auburn last week. They dominated in every facet of the game and cruised to a blowout win. If the Bulldogs do not slip up this week they will win the SEC East and get to be in the SEC Championship against either Alabama, Arkansas, or LSU, depending on how LSU does against Arkansas next week. They won't slip up.
    Prediction: Georgia 35-7

#1 LSU at Ole Miss (7:00 PM, ESPN): LSU needs to win this week and next week against Arkansas to clinch the SEC West. They will not have any problem winning this week against the worst team in the SEC.
    Prediction: LSU 42-3

Samford at #24 Auburn (1:00 PM, PPV): There actually is an interesting story line in this game. Samford's offensive coordinator is Rhett Lashlee, who was a graduate assistant under Auburn's offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn for a number of years including last year's National Championship run. Lashlee is trying to run his version of Gus' hurry up no huddle offense and has improved Samford's offense by gaining almost 50 more yards and 12 more points per game this year than in 2010. However, Samford has no chance against an Auburn team looking to avenge last week's embarrassment against UGA.
   Prediction: Auburn 42-13

The Rest
Furman at Florida (1:00 PM, PPV): Florida 35-7
Georgia Southern at #3 Alabama (2:00 PM, PPV): Alabama 56-3
*All Times Eastern


Lucas's Week 11 Record: 5-2
Lucas's Season Record: 71-12

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